Johannesburg maintains 15% growth

Logo:ASCASouth Africa’s busiest airport (O.R. Tambo International Airport in Johannesburg) responsible for processing around 55% of all of South Africa’s airport passengers continues to report double-digit growth for 2007. The two most recent months for which data has been published shows that traffic was up 15% in both July and August.

Chart:CHT JNB dom
Source: ACSA

Domestic traffic growth leads the way with demand increasing by almost 17% while international traffic is up almost 11%. Assuming these growth rates were maintained for the remainder of 2007 Johannesburg’s traffic would end up at around 19.5 million passengers for 2007.

Chart:CHT JNB int
Source: ACSA

LCCs growing domestic market share

With the launch of SAA’s own LCC Mango in November 2006 the low-cost market is still growing and currently accounts for 35% of domestic capacity (compared with 30% as recently as last September).

Airline Frequency Share Capacity Share Aircraft Size
SAA 56.7% 44.0% 87 seats 10.0% 13.3% 150 seats
Mango 6.5% 10.7% 186 seats
1time 7.6% 10.7% 157 seats
British Airways (Comair) 8.5% 9.9% 130 seats
Nationwide 9.0% 9.3% 115 seats
Others 1.7% 2.0%  
Source: OAG Max Online for w/c 7 January 2008

Image: nationwideNationwide has endured some tricky times recently after an incident in early November when an engine ‘separated’ from one of its 737-200s. As a result the airline has reduced its flying programme while the regulatory authorities work with the airline to ensure that adequate maintenance standards are achieved. According to the airline’s website it still owns three Boeing 727s which date from the early 1970s. Its fleet of one 767, two 737-500s, 11 737-200s and three 727s has an average age of around 25 years

SAA has one-third of international capacity

South African Airways (SAA) has a healthy one-third of all international capacity and operates over 40% of all international flights. The top 10 international airlines serving South Africa, which account for around two-thirds of all scheduled capacity, are shown below:

Airline Frequency Share Capacity Share Routes
SAA 41.1% 34.8% 42
British Airways 6.6% 8.5% 7
Emirates 2.3% 5.0% 1
Lufthansa 1.6% 3.5% 2
Virgin Atlantic 1.6% 3.4% 2
Air France 1.6% 3.1% 1
KLM 1.6% 3.0% 2
Singapore Airlines 1.2% 2.3% 2
Zambian Airways 2.7% 2.0% 5
Air Namibia 3.6% 2.0% 3
Source: OAG Max Online for w/c 7 January 2008

Emirates will further consolidate its third place ranking when it launches daily flights from Dubai to Cape Town from 30 March. Initially the route will be flown with an A330-200 but this will be replaced by a 777-200 from 1 October.


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