Domestic traffic down in four major EU markets in 2010; AEA report 2% domestic growth but other carriers make cuts

The 30 (mainly legacy) Association of European Airlines carriers reported 'domestic' traffic growth of 2.0% in 2010. However, anna.aero estimates that national/domestic traffic in 2010 was basically unchanged, implying that non-AEA carriers like Ryanair, easyJet, Flybe, Norwegian etc,  must have seen their domestic passenger numbers decline in 2010.

The 30 (mainly legacy) Association of European Airlines carriers reported 'domestic' traffic growth of 2.0% in 2010. However, anna.aero estimates that national/domestic traffic in 2010 was basically unchanged, implying that non-AEA carriers like Ryanair, easyJet, Flybe, Norwegian etc, must have seen their domestic passenger numbers decline in 2010.

Our recent analysis of the non-merger between Aegean Airlines and Olympic Air revealed how competition varied in the 11 biggest domestic markets in Europe. This week we examine data that shows how much (or not) domestic air traffic grew in 2010. The biggest domestic air travel markets in Europe are Spain, Italy, Germany, the UK and France. Of the nine country markets for which data is available five of them reported traffic growth while four of them saw passenger numbers decline. In all nine cases overall traffic growth was higher than domestic traffic growth with the difference ranging between 1.1 percentage points (for Italy) and 7.7 percentage points (for Finland).

Country (data source) Domestic growth 2010 Overall growth 2010 Difference
Spain (AENA) +1.2% +2.7% 1.5 points
Italy (Assaeroporti) +5.9% +7.0% 1.1 points
Germany (ADV) +2.0% +4.7% 2.7 points
UK (CAA) -8.7% -3.4% 5.3 points
France (ADP) -2.1% +0.4% 2.5 points
Norway (Avinor) +2.9% +6.8% 3.9 points
Sweden (Swedavia) +2.6% +6.0% 3.4 points
Greece (Athens Airport) -9.4% -5.0% 4.4 points
Finland (Finavia) -6.1% +1.6% 7.7 points
Source: As listed in table above

For most countries data was available across all airports but for France and Greece data from Aeroports de Paris and Athens Airport was used. As these are the central hubs for the domestic route networks these are a good proxy for domestic traffic for the country as a whole.

Denmark bucks the trends

For Europe’s 11th biggest domestic market in Denmark, data from Copenhagen airport shows that domestic traffic there was up almost 22% compared with overall airport growth of just over 9%. In the first quarter of 2010 Norwegian began three new domestic services from the airport to Billund, Bornholm and Karup. These complement the carrier’s existing domestic service to Aalborg which was launched in November 2008.

AEA members report domestic growth of 2%

Recently published data from the AEA (Association of European Airlines) shows that their 30 members combined reported domestic traffic growth in 2010 of 2.0%, despite a 1% reduction in ASKs. RPKs were up 1.8% and the average load factor was up 1.8 percentage points to 67.7%. anna.aero estimates that overall domestic traffic in 2010 was basically unchanged compared with 2009 implying that non-AEA carriers (for example LCCs such as Ryanair, easyJet, Flybe, Norwegian etc) must have seen their domestic passenger numbers decline in 2010.


Comments

  1. Arthur Dent says:

    The UK is losing two more significant domestic services soon. easyJet’s London Stansted – Newcastle route and bmi is axing Glasgow – London Heathrow. Can anna.aero tell us what new domestic routes were started in the UK in 2010 if any?

    • Thanks for the query, Arthur. Our new route database logged the launch of 21 new domestic services in the UK last summer. Of these, flybe started 14. Apart from six new seasonal services from Jersey and Guernsey to UK regional airports, the carrier also started three domestic routes from Belfast City (to Bristol, East Midlands and Liverpool). However, these all replaced Ryanair services after they withdrew from Belfast City. In addition, flybe launched Bristol-Isle Of Man, Edinburgh-Manston, Manchester-Bournemouth, Manchester-Manston and Manchester-Aberdeen. easyJet launched London Luton-Belfast City flights last January, and Liverpool-Isle Of Man services in May. Aer Arann started serving Manchester from Derry, while other new domestic routes were started by bmibaby (East Midlands-Newquay, and Bournemouth-Jersey), Jet2.com (Blackpool-Jersey) and Varsity Express (the very short-lived Oxford-Edinburgh service).

  2. Any thoughts on the impact of APD on domestic UK traffic, given that at least £24 of a return fare goes to HMRC? Imagine if that were to go to the airline – domestic air travel might suddenly look very appealing to airlines!

  3. Arthur Dent says:

    Now Flybe’s London Gatwick – Leeds/Bradford service is being axed from the end of March. Was operated three times daily.

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