15 fastest-growing intra-European country pairs this summer revealed
This week’s anna.aero analysis looks at which are the fastest-growing country pairs this summer within Europe. Based on currently known schedule data, seat capacity within Europe is expected to increase by just under 4% this August (the peak summer month). Using a criteria of at least 30,000 monthly seats, the fastest-growing country pair in percentage terms is revealed to be Russia-Moldova (+59.3%) followed closely by Poland-Denmark (+58.5%). This makes Poland-Denmark the fastest-growing intra-EU market in percentage terms.
Taking a closer look at the six fastest-growing country pairs reveals:
- Russia-Moldova: Aeroflot launched daily flights from Moscow Sheremetyevo to Chisinau on 26 October 2014 and will begin daily St Petersburg service to Chisinau starting 1 June 2015;
- Poland-Denmark: Ryanair will launch new service between Warsaw Modlin and Copenhagen (on 26 March 2015) and Wizz Air will add a Gdansk-Billund service starting 19 June 2015. In addition there are significant capacity increases by SAS on its Copenhagen-Wroclaw and Copenhagen-Warsaw routes, while Norwegian has added capacity on its Copenhagen-Krakow route;
- Turkey-Czech Republic: No new routes, but Pegasus Airlines, SmartWings and Turkish Airlines are all significantly adding flights on their existing routes;
- Poland-Belgium: Brussels Airlines launched twice-daily Brussels-Warsaw service on 14 September 2014, while Wizz Air is adding Gdansk-Brussels Charleroi on 19 June 2015. Ryanair and Wizz Air are also both increasing the number of flights between their Warsaw bases and Brussels Charleroi;
- Spain-Hungary: Iberia is launching flights between Madrid and Budapest on 2 June 2015, while Ryanair and Wizz Air have both increased frequencies on their Budapest-Madrid services as well;
- Poland-Norway: Wizz Air will have launched Szczecin-Bergen, Gdansk-Molde, Warsaw-Bergen and Warsaw-Stavanger, while Ryanair has added Oslo Rygge-Szczecin. Ryanair and Wizz Air have also added significant capacity on a number of routes such as Warsaw Modlin-Oslo Rygge, Gdansk-Oslo Torp and Gdansk-Stavanger.
Turkish domestic market sees biggest increase in seats
If instead of looking at percentage growth the analysis is repeated with the aim of finding the country pairs with the biggest volume increase in monthly seats, a very different ranking emerges. The Turkish domestic market is now the clear winner with other domestic markets filling five of the next seven positions. The biggest volume increases in international country pairs are Germany-Turkey and Spain-France. Three international markets from the UK (to Germany, Ireland and Poland) all make the top 12 in terms of volume growth.
At the other end of the rankings the biggest volume declines have been in the Italian domestic market (mostly due to the closure of Air One and cutbacks at Meridiana), between the UK and Spain and between Russia and Cyprus. Much of the reduction in the UK-Spain market can be attributed to an apparent 25% reduction in seat capacity by Monarch Airlines (it is closing its East Midlands base at the end of March), as well as smaller seat reductions in this market by Jet2.com and Ryanair.