Leak of the Week: Cobalt to add three more UK destinations for S17
Cobalt is looking to expand its network for S17 with the addition of five new routes – three of which are yet to be revealed – until now, thanks to anna.aero’s busy little data elves. The Larnaca-based carrier will add three more UK destinations this summer – namely Cardiff, Glasgow and Newcastle. These will join the recently announced additions to its flying progamme – starting 26 March, Cobalt will begin a six times weekly 55-minute hop to Tel Aviv, followed the next day by a twice-weekly (Mondays and Thursdays) service to Brussels. The re-start of twice-weekly (Wednesdays and Saturdays) flights to Dublin will begin on 8 April – marking a substantial season extension to the route which was flown in S16 between July and September only.
All routes face competition
Of the five new routes announced, or yet to be revealed, all of them will face competition. The most competitive is the 338-kilometre sector from Larnaca to Tel Aviv, which sees three incumbents – Aegean Airlines, Arkia and El Al – offering 23 weekly frequencies.
|New Route (WF)||Competition (WF)|
|Brussels (2)||Ryanair (2)|
|Cardiff (TBC)||Thomas Cook Airlines (1), Thomson Airways (1)|
|Glasgow (TBC)||Thomas Cook Airlines (2), Thomson Airways (1), Jet2.com (1)|
|Newcastle (TBC)||Thomas Cook Airlines (2), Thomson Airways (2), Jet2.com (1)|
|Tel Aviv (6)||Aegean Airlines (9), Arkia (7), El Al (7)|
|Source: Cobalt website and OAG Schedules Analyser for w/c 8 August 2017. WF = weekly frequency.|
If Cobalt is planning to launch the three unannounced UK routes ready for a S17 start, the airline is rapidly running out of time to get them on sale, depending on what the intended inaugural flight dates are. Both Tel Aviv and Brussels were announced around nine weeks prior to launch, so on this basis for an end-May launch the new UK routes would need to be on sale by mid-March (but a longer sales window would of course be more preferable!).
Hamburg, Tehran – unserved opportunities for Cobalt?
While the airline’s five new routes are all facing direct competition on the respective city pairs, there are still some sizeable unserved routes available from Larnaca. The biggest of those, according to OAG Traffic Analyser O&D data is Hamburg, which witnessed two-way indirect traffic of 20,963 passengers in the period December 2015-November 2016. Other unserved opportunities in Europe or the Middle East include Tehran (17,498 two-way passengers), Kuwait (15,775), Madrid (10,644) and Geneva (9,948). None of these figures includes any potential demand lost from the individual airport catchments via surface leakage, which would be in addition to these figures above. While we wait for Cobalt to add these suggested destinations to its network, rest-assured that anna.aero will bring you the Leak of the Week first.