Allegiant Air announces 44 new routes; 42 are unserved

Allegiant Air announces 44 new routes; 42 are unserved

Allegiant’s 44 new routes have median existing passengers of 15,300 before stimulation from both non-stop service and low fares. It would be relatively straightforward to predict its future routes based on existing passengers, existing network, and nature of destinations.

Allegiant has announced 44 new routes – its single biggest expansion.  All are twice-weekly and summer-seasonal, and all have an obvious vacation destination on at least one end.  Its first new flight – Boston, MA, to Grand Rapids, MI – will take off on 7 May, followed the next day by Boston to both Asheville, NC, and Knoxville, TN.

Allegiant Air announces 44 new routes; 42 are unserved

42 of its 44 new routes have no direct competition. These 44 involve 35 airports, including three new to its network.

44 new routes across 35 airports

Allegiant’s 44 new routes involve 35 airports, three of which are brand-new to its network: Boston Logan; Chicago Midway; and Houston Hobby. In the Boston area, it already serves Portsmouth and Providence; near Chicago, Rockford. All are origin airports. But for the first time, it’ll serve Boston, Chicago, and Houston themselves. 

42 routes have no direct competition

In keeping with its strategy of creating non-stop routes, only two have direct competition: Nashville, TN, to both Norfolk, VA, and Pittsburgh, PA.  Southwest will compete head-to-head. Twelve routes have indirect competition from the main airport. Some new routes, such as Chicago Midway – Des Moines, IA, have been served by others, in this instance by Southwest until 2016.  Given Southwest’s significant connectivity over Midway, it had over 100,000 annual seats.

44 routes have median 15,300 existing passengers

Many of Ryanair and Wizz Air’s new routes in Europe have 5,000+ indirect passengers before they’re begun on a low-frequency, and possibly seasonal, basis – with significant stimulation expected. Even Destin, FL – Dayton, OH, has 14,000 annual passengers before stimulation from both non-stop service and low fares. It would be relatively straightforward to predict future Allegiant routes based on existing passengers, existing network, and nature of destinations.

Part of its drive towards 600 new routes

This all culminates in Allegiant reiterating in November 2019 that “we continue to believe in 600+ incremental routes.”  These 44 continue its drive to towards them.

Route Start date Weekly frequency Direct competition?* 2019 passengers**
Asheville, NC – Houston HOU, TX 22 May 2 No (and none from IAH) 13,400
Austin, TX – Asheville, NC 22 May 2 No 10,300
Austin, TX – Des Moines, IA 21 May 2 No 22,900
Austin, TX – Grand Rapids, MI 22 May 2 No 21,700
Austin, TX – Knoxville, TN 22 May 2 No 19,300
Boston, MA – Asheville, NC 8 May 2 No 17,600
Boston, MA – Destin, FL 14 May 2 No 15,000
Boston, MA – Grand Rapids, MI 7 May 2 No 44,800
Boston, MA – Knoxville, TN 8 May 2 No 32,400
Chicago MDW, IL – Allentown, PA 14 May 2 No (but from ORD) 2,800
Chicago MDW, IL – Asheville, NC 21 May 2 No (but from ORD) 6,000
Chicago MDW, IL – Des Moines, IA 21 May 2 No (but from ORD) 3,400
Chicago MDW, IL – Destin, FL 5 June 2 No (but from ORD) 15,400
Chicago MDW, IL – Knoxville, TN 21 May 2 No (but from ORD) 8,400
Chicago MDW, IL – Savannah, GA 21 May 2 No (but from ORD) 17,000
Destin, FL – Dayton, OH 14 May 2 No 14,000
Destin, FL – Houston HOU, TX 5 June 2 No (but from IAH) 4,000
Destin, FL – Stewart, NY 21 May 2 No (but from EWR)*** 21,500
Grand Rapids, MI – Los Angeles, CA 5 June 2 No 53,000
Knoxville, TN – Houston HOU, TX 21 May 2 No (but from IAH) 9,200
Knoxville, TN – Myrtle Beach, SC 6 June 2 No 3,300
Louisville, KY – Charleston, SC 22 May 2 No 15,200
Memphis, TN – Cincinnati, OH 22 May 2 No 26,300
Memphis, TN – Des Moines, IA 21 May 2 No 9,600
Memphis, TN – West Palm Beach, FL 21 May 2 No 17,400
Myrtle Beach, SC – Elmira, NY 6 June 2 No 700****
Myrtle Beach, SC – Providence, RI 5 June 2 No 10,500
Nashville, TN – Bozeman, MT 21 May 2 No 15,300
Nashville, TN – Fargo, ND 4 June 2 No 7,900
Nashville, TN – Flint, MI 5 June 2 No 5,100
Nashville, TN – Greensboro, NC 5 June 2 No 20,000
Nashville, TN – Norfolk, VA 22 May 2 Yes: Southwest 44,000
Nashville, TN – Peoria, IL 4 June 2 No 3,900
Nashville, TN – Pittsburgh, PA 22 May 2 Yes: Southwest 28,300
Nashville, TN – Sioux Falls, SD 21 May 2 No 10,400
Nashville, TN – Tulsa, OK 4 June 2 No 24,700
Norfolk, VA – Columbus, OH 22 May 2 No (and none at CMH) 20,400
Orlando SFB, FL – Albuquerque, NM 4 June 2 No (but from MCO)^ 67,800
Pittsburgh, PA – Memphis, TN 21 May 2 No 32,200
Pittsburgh, PA – Norfolk, VA 21 May 2 No 22,700
Savannah, GA – Belleville, MO 6 June 2 No (and none from STL) 20,800
Savannah, GA – Houston, TX 28 May 2 No (but from IAH) 13,600
Savannah, GA – Punta Gorda, FL 6 June 2 No (but from IAH) 9,800
Savannah, GA – Stewart, NY 20 May 2 No (but from EWR/JFK/LGA) 30,500
Source: Allegiant.com, OAG Schedules Analyser, and OAG Traffic Analyser. * Based on a search from January 2019 until June 2020. ** Estimated. Both ways combined. When multiple airports are available, the passengers refer to indirect rather than non-stop, so this is simply a proxy; leakage would be better here. When direct competition exists, indirect passengers are mentioned. *** Allegiant operates Destin to Newark. **** This is where second ownership, migration, and ZIP analysis comes into play. ^ Frontier has cut Albuquerque – Orlando MCO, leaving only Southwest.

Comments

  1. Nancy Semmelmann says:

    Please add Atlanta!!
    More routes from Syracuse would be appreciated as well.
    We love you Allegiant Air!

Comments are closed