Antalya seats up 11 million since 2015 as CONNECT comes to town

As CONNECT kicks off its 2020 Route Development Forum next week, 19 - 21 February, it is worth looking at the development of host Antalya, whose seats have grown by 11 million since 2015.

easyJet’s new once-weekly service from Liverpool to Antalya is among many new routes across various airlines to the UK for summer 2020. Unlike most, this isn’t from the end of Thomas Cook, as it has been unserved for at least a decade. Here, Ali Gayward, easyJet’s UK Country Manager, right, and John Irving, CEO Liverpool John Lennon Airport, announce the new route.

Antalya, the location for this year’s CONNECT Route Development Forum, is Turkey’s third-largest airport, with almost 30 million total seats in 2019.  Despite the events of 2016, the airport has added almost 11 million since 2015 – a CAGR of 10%.  Key airline development since 2017 includes SunExpress, up by  2.4 million seats; Azur Air, up 1.8 million; Nordwind, up 1.5 million; and both Onur Air and Red Wings, both up one million.

Antalya's seats up 11 million since 2015 as CONNECT comes to town

Source: OAG Schedules Analyser.

Russia seats up almost seven million since 2016 

Befitting Antalya’s resort status, 73% of its 2019 seats are international, with the airport’s European and Turkish network shown below.  Germany and Russia accounted for 45% of seats, up from 35% in 2009.  Last year, a total of 45 Russian and 22 German airports were served, with Antalya’s top-10 international routes reflecting the importance of these countries, with nine spots covered by them.  Antalya’s top-10 international list is led by Moscow Sheremetyevo and Düsseldorf.

Antalya's seats up 11 million since 2015 as CONNECT comes to town 3

Source: OAG Mapper.

Russia seats up almost seven million since 2016 

Germany has always been a significantly larger country from Antalya than Russia – until 2019.  Like many European countries, Germany saw reduced capacity as a result of the crises.  Condor, for example, cut over one million seats.  However, the uncertainty and reduced confidence following the crises did not dissuade Russia, with capacity growing by nearly seven million seats, including from the growth of Azur Air, Nordwind, and Red Wings since 2017. Geographical closeness, holiday facilities designed in accordance with the preferences of Russian visitors, and the ease of attaining visas are said to be key explanations.

Antalya's seats up 11 million since 2015 as CONNECT comes to town

Source: OAG Schedules Analyser.

SunExpress #1 airline following recent fast growth

SunExpress, the joint Turkish Airlines-Lufthansa entity, the largest operator at Antalya, with 5.5 million – or 55% – of the carrier’s seats deployed there across 46 routes. In 2019, it introduced various new routes from Antalya, including Aalborg, Budapest, Eindhoven, Gothenburg, Oslo, Prague, and Warsaw.   The development of SunExpress at Antalya is impressive, with about half of its additional capacity since 2017 from the domestic market.  Interestingly, its strong domestic growth – up from little in 2017 to 1.4 million in 2019 –  is mainly from higher frequencies than new destinations, especially to Adana and Izmir.

Antalya's seats up 11 million since 2015 as CONNECT comes to town

Source: OAG Schedules Analyser. Note: some years had other airlines in the top-10, but the purpose of this figure is to show the development of top-10 airlines in 2019 and their development over time.

Pegasus to become #2

Pegasus will undoubtedly become Antalya’s second-largest airline. It introduced many new routes last year, including Adana, Bremen, Billund, and Paderborn, and significantly increased capacity YOY to Berlin SXF, Düsseldorf, Erfurt, Gothenburg, Kayseri, Krasnodar, Leipzig, and Stuttgart. Will it become #2 in 2020?


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