North America – India has 6.9 million passengers; Canada ~1/4 of market
Almost 6.9 million people travelled from the US and Canada to India in the year to November 2019, flat year-over-year. The total market has grown by 830,000 passengers since the year to November 2016. 71% of this growth came from Canada – India, a country-pair three-and-a-half times smaller than US – India. This is partly from Air Canada more than doubling capacity to India, including launching Vancouver – Delhi in 2018, together with Air India relaunching Toronto in 2019.
|12 months to…*||Total (est.)||Total US (est.)||Total Canada (est.)|
|Source: OAG Traffic Analyser. * 12 months to November 2019 in comparison to 12 months to November 2016.|
Around 75% flew indirectly, but % falling from more non-stops
OAG Traffic Analyser shows that around seven-and-a-half in ten of the 6.9 million flew indirectly, especially with Emirates (1.2 million), Qatar Airways (729,000), Air India (563,000), Etihad (525,000), and British Airways (408,000). With almost 2.5 million, the MEB3 have an estimated 36% share of total North America – India traffic. In 2019, 14 non-stop routes operated, up from eight in 2016. This year, though, American Airlines will become the fifth non-stop operator when it starts Seattle – Bangalore.
Canada now up to almost one-quarter of total market
Canada – India now accounts for almost one-quarter of the overall market. On an airport-pair and city-pair basis, Toronto – Delhi is the largest market. It exceeds number-two, Delhi – New York, by almost 100,000. Of the top-10 airport-pairs, below, both Bangalore – San Francisco – easily reachable with American’s new Seattle service – and Los Angeles – Delhi are unserved. Los Angeles has no non-stop service to India, partly on account of a far lower Indian population versus San Francisco and surrounding cities.
|Top-10 markets (airport-pair)||Top-10 states/provinces|
|Route||Total passengers (est.)*||States/provinces||Passengers (est.)*|
|Delhi – Toronto||428,300||New York||1.3 million|
|Delhi – Vancouver||307,900||California||1.2 million|
|Delhi – San Francisco||245,400||Ontario||858,900|
|Delhi – New York JFK||236,600||Illinois||495,000|
|Mumbai – Newark||173,200||Texas||487,500|
|Mumbai – New York JFK||137,600||British Columbia||374,400|
|Delhi – Los Angeles||130,600||Washington DC||333,000|
|Bangalore – San Francisco||126,000||Florida||229,300|
|Mumbai – San Francisco||119,700||Massachusetts||185,100|
|Mumbai – Toronto||109,300||Georgia||185,000|
|Source: OAG Traffic Analyser. * Non-stop and indirect combined.|