New York – Paris approaches three million seats with nine airlines
The Europe – USA market has 93.2 million scheduled seats so far this year, with the current impact of the coronavirus included in this. In other words, even with bigger changes coming from the virus, this is almost the minimum of what it would have been without the virus. This is up 1.5 million, or 1.6%, over 2019 – and up 28 million (42%), since 2010. With 11.1 million seats, France is the third-largest European market from the USA, after the UK (26.8 million) and Germany (13.7 million). Yet, New York – Paris is the second-largest city-pair, with almost three million seats, up 389,000 (15%), over 2019.
This strong growth – in a large and mature market – is ‘artificial’. Seats dropped by 183,000 in 2019 from the end of both Open Skies and Primera (the long-haul, low-cost operator using narrow-bodies), together with a meaningful capacity reduction – partly from the French terror attacks – by Delta and Norwegian in particular. In comparison to 2018, seat capacity in 2020 increased by 7%.
New York – Paris has nine airlines, almost double the average of the top-10
In 2020, the top-10 city-pairs have an average of five ‘competitors’ (this word is used loosely here given the number of joint-ventures). By far the most operators – nine – are on Paris – New York. With a 45% share of seats, Air France is, not surprisingly, by far the leader, followed by fellow SkyTeam operator Delta (12%) and, in third place, Norwegian (9%, rounded). (SkyTeam airlines have 1.7 million, or 56%, of seats on New York – Paris.) Air France’s dominance has reduced from 62% in 2010 – when the market had five operators – as the carrier’s capacity has remained broadly unchanged in this period: its seats are now up just 44,000 over 2010.
French Bee and Corsair to enter from June
Significantly, 2020 will see the arrival of two new operators, both from 10 June: French Bee and Corsair. Together, they’re due to offer 314,000 seats this year. French Bee will initially operate a daily service from Paris Orly to Newark using 411-seat A350-900s. Corsair, meanwhile, will at first operate five-weekly from Paris Orly to New York JFK using 304-seat A330-200s, but this will change to daily. Come September, this will be operated daily by A330-900s. Of course, their entrance is partly from the gap left at Orly from the exit of Open Skies and Primera that saw Orly – New York seats fall significantly. But it’s also down to the end of XL Airways France from Paris CDG in 2019.
Almost 16 daily in mid-August
In the week commencing 10 August, the current airline offering is as follows, but it could of course change. In all, there are 109 weekly frequencies, or almost 16-daily, led by Air France’s six-daily.
|Airline||Paris airport(s)||New York airport(s)||Weekly frequency||Aircraft|
|Air France||CDG, Orly||JFK||42 (35 CDG, 7 Orly)||A380, B777-200, B777-300ER|
|Delta Air Lines||CDG||JFK||14||A330-300|
|Source: OAG Schedules Analyser.|