Indonesia’s domestic seats rise 16% in March 2020 vs. 2019
With nearly 270 million people, Indonesia is the world’s fourth most populous country. The nation’s seats have grown enormously: from 84 million in 2010 to 197 million in 2018, an increase of 113 million in less than a decade. They did, however, reduce to 179 million in 2019, almost all from cuts at Lion Air (-10 million), Garuda Indonesia (-19.6 million), and NAM Air (-2.7 million). This 18-million reduction, effectively all from domestic flights, was mainly from the fallout of the MAX accident. And this decline is crucial to the story that follows.
Domestic seats up 16.4% in March 2020; international declines 27%
With 87 deaths from COVID-19, Indonesia is currently the world’s 38th hardest-hit country by this measure. Like most countries, its international seats have fallen significantly. In all of March 2020, Indonesia’s international seats totalled almost three million, down 27% from 4.1 million in March 2019. Singapore (-318,000 seats), Malaysia (-292,700), and China (-247,100) were the most impacted countries. But unlike most countries, its domestic seats have grown 16.4%, from 10.4 million last year to 12.3 million this year.
All about recovery after 2020; strong growth during COVID-19 notable
The 16.4% rise in domestic seats in March follows 12.7% in February and forecast growth – still subject to change – of 21.6% in April. In contrast, Indonesia’s international seats are expected to decline further in April, down 33.6% year-on-year. The performance of domestic capacity is overwhelmingly from one thing: the clawing back of lost capacity in 2019. For Indonesia’s top-10 airports, March 2020 seats are up 17% year-on-year, but down 1.9% over March 2018. Nonetheless, it is notable that the country’s domestic ‘catch up’ is still pushing forward at speed despite the ongoing crisis, which begs the question: what would growth be like without it?
|March 2018||March 2019||March 2020||March 2020 vs. 2019||March 2020 vs. 2018|
|Denpasar – Bali||1,234,482||1,136,381||1,251,908||10.2%||1.4%|
|Source: OAG Schedules Analyser.|
anna.aero uses OAG data for its analysis. Please note that the COVID-19 crisis remains fluid as airlines around the world continue to make dramatic capacity cuts. OAG has taken several steps to ensure its data is as accurate as possible.