Ryanair expects to operate 1,615 routes this summer

Ryanair expects to operate 1,615 routes this summer

anna.aero has looked at over 400 individual routes and all are currently bookable at the specified frequencies in a randomly chosen week (coincidentally containing the author’s birthday).

Ryanair expects to operate 1,615 routes this summer, with seats and flights up by 188% over summer 2020 but down by 5% over pre-coronavirus summer 2019.

Of course, the picture is continually moving.  Further lockdowns, border closures, and quarantines – and an insufficiently fast rollout of vaccinations – may scupper its plans.  But it is, on the face of it, positive.

Ryanair will serve 214 airports this coming summer, OAG data shows, down from 225 in S19. 

In order of capacity, its top-10 airports will be:  Stansted, Dublin, Milan Bergamo, Palma, Barcelona, Vienna, Madrid, Brussels Charleroi, Malaga, and Alicante

Vienna is a new in its top-10 and is the result of Ryanair replacing Lauda.  The Irish ULCC will have 75 routes from the Austrian capital, with Palma by far the top with three-quarter more seats than second-placed Milan Malpensa.  Charleroi, Stansted, Rome Fiumicino, and Tel Aviv each have 70,000+ seats.

Almost all of its top-10 airports have seen a reduction in capacity. Palma, meanwhile, jumped from five place in S19 to fourth, with seats up by 10% as its network grew from 58 to 69. This was also from a shift from Lauda to Ryanair.

Ryanair’s core routes remain broadly the same.  At the other extreme, both Corfu – Wroclaw and Faro – Wroclaw will each have fewer than 5,000 seats from a once-weekly, June-August service.

Ryanair expects to operate 1,615 routes this summer (2)

Milan Bergamo to Stansted appears this summer, kicking out Palma – Barcelona which was eighth in S19 with 368,000 seats.  Source: OAG Schedules Analyser.

95% of Ryanair seats to touch UK, Spain, and Italy

 The UK is expected to be Ryanair’s top country this summer, with approximately 29.6 million two-way seats, only slightly ahead of Spain and less than two million more than Italy.

The UK, Spain, and Italy are utterly fundamental to Ryanair, with 95% of its seats touching these countries – up from 78% in S19 – across 734 routes. 

While Ryanair’s UK and Spain seats are down by 12% and 10% respectively over pre-coronavirus S19, Italy is up by 1.2%.

This is the result of its domestic Italian presence, with routes growing from 66 to 73 while it added over 930,000 more seats (+13%).  This is from multiple airports expanding, including Milan Malpensa (+35%, +265,000 seats) and Palermo (+12%, 192,000), and from Treviso becoming a base.

Indeed, domestic Italy will now be only very marginally behind the ULCC’s top country-market, the UK to Spain.

Read more: UK – Spain was the most profitable market for LCCs in 2019, with ~€395 million profit.

Due to bilaterals, Turkey will be Ryanair’s least-served country, with just 23,400 seats and one route: Dublin to Bodrum twice-weekly.  A second, Dublin to Dalaman, isn’t presently scheduled or available for booking.

While Ryanair’s intra-Western Europe capacity has reduced by 7% versus S19, intra-CEE is up by 68% and Western Europe to CEE is up by 5%.  

Ryanair expects to operate 1,615 routes this summer

Various countries in CEE have grown strongly.  Ukraine, for example, is expected to have over 1.7 million Ryanair seats this coming summer, up by almost a million over S19. Poland is up by almost 1.4 million. Source: OAG Schedules Analyser.


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